import copy import math import random from collections import defaultdict import matplotlib.pyplot as plt import matplotlib.ticker as ticker class Distribution: def __init__(self, prob_table=None): self.probabilities = prob_table @property def probabilities(self): return self._prob_table @probabilities.setter def probabilities(self, value): if value is None: self._prob_table = defaultdict(lambda: 0.0) elif isinstance(value, list) or isinstance(value, tuple): self._prob_table = defaultdict(lambda: 0.0, {value[0], value[1]}) elif isinstance(value, dict) or isinstance(value, defaultdict): self._prob_table = defaultdict(lambda: 0.0, value) else: raise ValueError("Unknown value type", type(value)) def expected(self): ex = 0 for val, prob in self.probabilities.items(): ex += val * prob return ex def variance(self): # Squared deviation from the mean return (self + (-self.expected())).squared() def standard_deviation(self): return math.sqrt(self.variance().expected()) def squared(self): return self.apply(lambda x: x*x) @classmethod def convert(cls, value): if isinstance(value, cls): return value res = cls() if isinstance(value, int) or isinstance(value, float): res.probabilities = {value: 1.0} else: res.probabilities = value return res def prob_table(self): return tuple(zip(*self._prob_table.items())) def normalize(self): summed = sum(self.probabilities.values()) self.probabilities = {k: v/summed for k, v in self.probabilities.items()} def roll(self, count=1): values, probs = self.prob_table() res = random.choices(values, weights=probs, k=count) return sum(res) def show(self): values, probs = self.prob_table() self.__show_plot(values, probs, "Value", "Probability") def test(self, sample_count): values = list(self.probabilities.keys()) counts = defaultdict(lambda: 0) for _ in range(sample_count): counts[self.roll()] += 1 self.__show_plot(values, [counts[v] for v in values], "Value", "Times rolled") @staticmethod def __show_plot(xax, yax, xlb, ylb): fig, ax = plt.subplots() ax.bar(xax, yax) ax.set_ylabel(ylb) ax.set_xlabel(xlb) # ax.xaxis.set_major_locator(ticker.FixedLocator(xax)) # ax.yaxis.set_major_locator(ticker.FixedLocator(list(set(yax)))) plt.grid(True) plt.show() def insert(self, value, probability=1.0): for val, prob in self.convert(value).probabilities.items(): self._prob_table[val] += probability * prob def accumulate_prob(self, pred): res = 0 for val, prob in self.probabilities.items(): if pred(val): res += prob return res def apply(self, operator, *args, **kwargs): res = Distribution() for lv, lprob in self.probabilities.items(): res.insert(operator(lv, *args, **kwargs), lprob) return res def apply2(self, operator, other, *args, **kwargs): res = Distribution() for lv, lprob in self.probabilities.items(): for rv, rprob in self.convert(other).probabilities.items(): res.insert(operator(lv, rv, *args, **kwargs), lprob*rprob) return res def __iadd__(self, other): self = self.apply2(lambda x, y: x + y, other) return self def __add__(self, other): return self.apply2(lambda x, y: x + y, other) __radd__ = __add__ def __neg__(self): return self.apply(lambda x: -x) def __rmul__(self, count): if not isinstance(count, int): raise ValueError("Multiplication allowed only for int") if count == 0: return Distribution({0, 1.0}) res = copy.deepcopy(self) if count < 0: res = -res count = -count for _ in range(count-1): res += self return res